Journal of University of Science and Technology of China ›› 2015, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (3): 246-253.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-2778.2015.03.011

• Original Paper • Previous Articles    

Analysis of the influencing factors of Chinas international capital flow

BA Shusong, GU Lei, YAN Min   

  1. 1.School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China; 2.Institute of Finance, Development Research Center of the State Council, Beijing 100010, China; 3.Treasury Department, Postal Savings Bank of China, Beijing 100808, China
  • Received:2012-11-06 Revised:2012-12-07 Accepted:2012-12-07 Online:2012-12-07 Published:2012-12-07

Abstract: Through principle component analysis, the general factors affecting international capital flows were obtained. Then by dividing the international capital flows into long-term and short-term capital flows, further analysis of the factors was conducted. The results of empirical study show that increased level of openness, increasing economic output, increased labor compensation and moderate inflation may bring in FDI, which can be inhibited by an appreciation of an RMB; increasing expectation of RMB appreciation and a boom of Chinese real estate and security markets are driving short-term capital into China; increased level of openness and interest rate differentials have no influence on short-term capital inflows.

Key words: international capital flows, principle component analysis, co-integration analysis

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