中国科学技术大学学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (8): 683-691.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-2778.2015.08.010

• 原创论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

MFCCA算法及其在金融市场中的应用:DCCA多重分形拓展的新视角

笪婷婷   

  1. 1.中国科学技术大学管理学院统计与金融系,安徽合肥 230026;2.中国科学技术大学材料科学与工程系,安徽合肥 230026
  • 收稿日期:2014-10-10 修回日期:2015-05-11 出版日期:2015-08-31 发布日期:2015-08-31
  • 作者简介:DA Tingting (corresponding author), female, born in 1991, master. Research field: statistical finance.

The MFCCA algorithm and its application in financial market: A new view of multifractal extension of DCCA

DA Tingting   

  1. 1.Department of Statistics and Finance, School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China; 2.Department of Materials Science and Engineering, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
  • Received:2014-10-10 Revised:2015-05-11 Online:2015-08-31 Published:2015-08-31
  • Contact: DA Tingting

摘要: 基于降趋交叉分析法(DCCA)的多重分形情形拓展存在麻烦点,即负的交叉协方差的任意矩可能会导致复值的出现.通常采取模的处理方法MFDXA会在实际没有分形特征情形下检测出明显的多重分形信号.Os′wiecimka提出的多重分形降趋交互相关性分析法(MFCCA)保留了每个子区间降趋协方差符号这一重要信息,解决了上述麻烦点,同时能够准确识别多重分形交互关系信号,是降趋交互相关性分析法的自然拓展.这里从一般形式两成分ARFIMA模型的角度出发,证明了MFCCA算法相比MFDXA算法更加有效.MFCCA能够正确地识别分形特征,同时对权重参数W表现出一定的敏感性.此外,将MFCCA算法应用于中国股票市场上,证实了CSI 300指数量价间只有大的波动才具有分形特征.

关键词: 多重分形, 相关性分析法, 降趋分析法, 一般两成分ARFIMA过程, 量价关系, CSI 300指数

Abstract: Multifractal extension of detrended cross-correlation analysis (DCCA) usually involves the trouble that the computation of arbitrary powers of the negative cross-covariances leads to complex values. However, a commonly adopted modulus processing method MFDXA often indicates significant multifractal cross-correlation signal when actually no fractality exists. Mulitfractal cross-correlation analysis (MFCCA) proposed by Os′wiecimka preserves the sign of the cross-covariances and settles the trouble above. MFCCA is a natural general extension of MFDFA and DCCA. Here it was demonstrated that MFCCA performs more effectively and powerfully than MFDXA from the view of the general two-component ARFIMA processes model. MFCCA can correctly identify the signal of multifractality behavior and show sensitivity to the varying of the weight parameter W.

Key words: multifractality, cross correlation analysis, detrended analysis, the general two-component ARFIMA processes, price-volume relationship, CSI 300 index