中国科学技术大学学报 ›› 2017, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (11): 885-893.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-2778.2017.11.001

• 研究论文:数学 •    下一篇

对于在次指数组下一种离散风险模型破产概率的一致渐近估计


  

  1. 中国科学技术大学管理学院统计与金融系,安徽合肥,230026
  • 出版日期:2017-11-30 发布日期:2023-05-11

A uniform asymptotic estimate for ruin probability of a discrete-time risk model with subexponential innovations

  1. Department of Statistics and Finance, School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei  230026, China
  • Online:2017-11-30 Published:2023-05-11
  • Contact: CHEN Yu, PhD/associate Prof. E-mail: cyu@ustc.edu.cn
  • About author:SHEN Linchuan, female, born in 1994, master. Research field: Limit theory in risk theory. E-mail: linchuan@mail.ustc.edu.cn.
  • Supported by:
     Supported by the National Key Research and Development Plan (2016YFC0800104), National Nature Science Foundation of China (71771203).

摘要: 考虑递归等式Tn=Xn+Tn-1Yn ,其中Xn和Yn相互独立,等式右边的Tn-1独立于(Xn,Yn).假设Xn的分布函数属于次指数族,并且具有非零的下Karamate指数,同时(Xn,Yn)满足一定的相依结构,对等式中Tn的尾部概率进行了估计.

关键词: 渐近性, 下Karamata指数, 次指数族, 一致性

Abstract: The recursive equation Tn=Xn+Tn-1Yn was considered, in which Xand Yn are two independent random variables, and Tn-1 on the right-hand side is independent of (Xn,Yn). Under the assumption that Xn follows a subexponential distribution with a nonzero lower Karamata index, and that (Xn,Yn) fulfills a certain dependence structure, some asymptotic formulas were obtained for the tail probabilities of Tin this equation.

Key words: asympotics, the lower Karamata index, subexponentiality, uniformly

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