中国科学技术大学学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 50 ›› Issue (9): 1266-1276.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-2778.2020.09.006

• 科研论文 • 上一篇    

一种离散纵向数据相依结构建模的Cholesky因子模型

李叶蓁   

  1. 中国科学技术大学管理学院统计与金融系,安徽合肥 230026
  • 收稿日期:2020-03-30 修回日期:2020-06-18 出版日期:2020-09-30 发布日期:2020-09-30

A Cholesky factor model in correlation modeling for discrete longitudinal data

  1. Department of Statistics and Finance, School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
  • Received:2020-03-30 Revised:2020-06-18 Online:2020-09-30 Published:2020-09-30
  • Contact: ZHANG Weiping
  • About author:LI Yezhen, female, born in 1995, master. Research field:Longitudinal data analysis, statistical inference. E-mail: 605916686@qq.com

摘要: 对一类响应变量为离散型的平衡或非平衡纵向数据,提出了均值-相关系数联合回归模型框架,并且使用Cholesky分解方法对模型的相关结构进行参数化,使其具有良好的统计解释性.为了解决似然推断中高维积分计算的难题,提出了一种高效的蒙特卡罗期望最大化(MCEM)算法,并证明了参数估计的渐近性质. 模拟实验和实际数据分析表明提出的方法是高度有效的.

关键词: 离散纵向数据, Cholesky分解, 均值-相关系数回归模型, 蒙特卡罗期望最大化算法

Abstract: A joint mean-correlation regression model framework was proposed for a family of generic discrete responses either balanced or unbalanced, and a Cholesky decomposition method was used for statistically meaningful reparameterization of correlation structures. To overcome computational intractability in maximizing the full likelihood function of the model, a computationally efficient Monte Carlo expectation maximization (MCEM) approach was proposed. Theoretical properties were also established for the resulting estimators. Simulation studies and a real data analysis show that the proposed approach yields highly efficient estimators for the parameters.

Key words: discrete longitudinal data, Cholesky decomposition, mean-correlation regression model, Monte Carlo expectation maximization