中国科学技术大学学报 ›› 2018, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (11): 906-922.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-2778.2018.11.007

• 论著 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于Merton模型与Monte Carlo模拟的障碍期权定价对冲

郑祥,韦勇凤   

  1. 中国科学技术大学管理学院统计与金融系,安徽合肥 230026
  • 收稿日期:2017-09-11 修回日期:2017-12-08 接受日期:2017-12-08 出版日期:2018-11-30 发布日期:2017-12-08
  • 通讯作者: 韦勇凤
  • 作者简介:郑祥,男,1992年生,硕士.研究方向:金融工程与风险管理.E-mail:xzheng1@mail.ustc.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    作者简介: 郑祥,男,1992年生,硕士.研究方向:金融工程与风险管理.E-mail:xzheng1@mail.ustc.edu.cn

Pricing and hedging barrier options based on Merton model and Monte Carlo simulation

ZHENG Xiang, WEI Yongfeng   

  1. Department of Statistics and Finance,School of Management,University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026,China
  • Received:2017-09-11 Revised:2017-12-08 Accepted:2017-12-08 Online:2018-11-30 Published:2017-12-08

摘要: 障碍期权是国内OTC市场报价交易频繁的一种典型期权,该类期权偿付的跳跃结构和路径依赖性使得障碍期权的对冲一直是业界技术难题.通过对挂钩沪深300指数的向上敲出障碍期权的定价对比分析,设计了一款适用于目前国内金融市场的障碍期权的对冲策略.主要通过Black-Scholes-Merton模型解析解和Monte Carlo模拟方法进行期权定价和分析障碍期权的Greeks的变动情况,依据delta的变化进行静态复制最大成本的测算和动态障碍价格外移边界的分析以及10 000条指数路径的模拟对冲,分析其平均对冲成本和极值效应,并选取2011~2016年沪深300指数实际样本进行对冲策略的回测.结果显示在遍历法触发式外移障碍边界的对冲思路下对冲平均成本显著降低,同时对冲极值和分位数的分布相对平滑,这反映了对冲策略表现良好,实现了障碍期权的有效对冲.

关键词: 障碍期权, 期权定价, 期权对冲, Monte Carlo模拟, Merton模型

Abstract: Barrier options as typical exotic options are trading frequently at the domestic OTC (over-the counter) market, whose jumping structure and path dependence make the hedge method a constant problem for the industry. Here a barrier options hedge strategy applicable to current domestic financial market was designed by a comparative analysis for pricing the up-and-out barrier options of the CSI 300 index. The barrier options price and the Greeks change were analyzed through the analytical solution of the Black-Scholes-Merton model and numerical solution of the Monte Carlo simulation method. According to the simulated 10 000 index path of hedge and the variation of delta, the static replicate maximal cost was enumerated and options dynamic barrier out-shift boundary was deduced for analyzing the average hedge cost and extreme effect. 2011~2016 actual CSI 300 was selected to back-test and verify the effectiveness of the hedge strategy. The results show that the hedge average cost is significantly reduced under the hedge idea of the traversal trigger outward moving barrier boundary, and that the distribution of the hedge extremes and quantiles is relatively smooth, which reflects the good performance of the hedge strategy and the effective hedge of the barrier option.

Key words: barrier options, option pricing, option hedging, Monte Carlo simulation, Merton model

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