Journal of University of Science and Technology of China ›› 2020, Vol. 50 ›› Issue (12): 1478-1487.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-2778.2020.12.005

• Research Article • Previous Articles     Next Articles

L quantile regression with realized measure

  

  1. Department of Statistics and Finance, School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei 230026, China
  • Online:2020-12-30 Published:2021-03-04
  • Contact: Chen Yu received her Ph. D. degree in probability and statistics from University of Science and Technology of China in 2006. She is an associate professor of Department of Statistics and Finance, School of Management, University of Science and Technology of China. Her research interests include network risk analysis, extreme value theory, and high-frequency data analysis.
  • About author:Tang Li received his master degree from University of Science and Technology of China in 2020. His research interests focus on risk management.
  • Supported by:

    The work is supported by the National Key Research and Development Plan (2016YFC0800100), the NNSF of China (71771203).

Abstract:

A new financial risk model named Lp quantile regression with a realized measure (realized Lp quantile) was proposed. The realized measure and Lp quantiles were combined and Lp quantile were added to the measurement equation. The realized Lp quantile model is a generic model that includes realized quantile model and expectile model. An asymmetric exponential power distribution (AExpPow) was proposed to derive the formula of log-likelihood. And a simulation was conducted to justify the validity of the log-likelihood. Finally an empirical study was conducted to justify the validity of the realized Lp quantile. And some conclusions were drawn as follows: differfent power indices suit different data and different time-frequencies suit different realized measures, and higher frequency is not always better.

Key words: realized measure, realizedLpquantile regression, asymmetric exponential power distribution