中国科学技术大学学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 45 ›› Issue (9): 737-744.DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.0253-2778.2015.09.006

• 论著 • 上一篇    

具有一般形式接触率的SEIR模型的稳定性分析

马艳丽,徐文雄,张仲华   

  1. 1.安徽新华学院公共课教学部,安徽合肥 230088;2.西安交通大学数学与统计学院,陕西西安 710049; 3.西安科技大学理学院,陕西西安 710049
  • 收稿日期:2015-03-19 修回日期:2015-07-24 接受日期:2015-07-24 出版日期:2015-07-24 发布日期:2015-07-24
  • 通讯作者: 马艳丽
  • 作者简介:马艳丽(通讯作者),女,1983年生,硕士/讲师. 研究方向:生物数学. E-mail: linda-mayanli@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(11201277,11402054)资助.

Stability analysis of SEIR model with general contact rate

MA Yanli, XU Wenxiong, ZHANG Zhonghua   

  1. 1.Public Curriculum Department, Anhui Xinhua University, Hefei 230088, China; 2.School of Mathematics and Statistics, Xian Jiaotong University, Xian 710049, China; 3.School of Sciences, Xian University of Science and Technology, Xian 710049, China
  • Received:2015-03-19 Revised:2015-07-24 Accepted:2015-07-24 Online:2015-07-24 Published:2015-07-24

摘要: 研究了一类具有不同一般形式的接触率β1(N),β2(N)和β3(N)且潜伏者,染病者和移出者均具有传染力的SEIR传染病模型,得到疾病流行与否的阈值——基本再生数R0.运用Liapunov函数方法,证明了当R0<1时,无病平衡点E0全局渐近稳定,疾病最终消失;利用Hurwitz判据定理,证明了当R0>1时,E0不稳定,地方病平衡点E*局部渐近稳定;当因病死亡率和剔除率为零时,地方病平衡点E*全局渐近稳定,疾病持续存在.

关键词: 一般形式接触率, 基本再生数, 平衡点, 全局渐近稳定性, Liapunov函数, Hurwitz判据

Abstract: A type of SEIR epidemic model with different general contact rates β1(N), β2(N) and β3(N), having infective force in all the latent, infected and immune periods, was studied. And the threshold, basic reproductive number R0 which determines whether a disease is extinct or not, was obtained. By using the Liapunov function method, it was proved that the disease-free equilibrium E0 is globally asymptotically stable and the disease eventually goes away if R0<1. It was also proved that in the case where R0>1, E0 is unstable and the unique endemic equilibrium E* is locally asymptotically stable by Hurwitz criterion theory. It is shown that when disease-induced death rate and elimination rate are zero, the unique endemic equilibrium E* is globally asymptotically stable and the disease persists.

Key words: general contact rate, basic reproductive number, equilibrium, global stability, Liapunov function, Hurwitz criterion

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